SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN – Crown Weather reported on Monday that the Atlantic Basin could “wake up” and start producing tropical weather systems sometime between August 5 and August 18.
“An upward motion pulse of the Madden Julian Oscillation that is now over the central Pacific Ocean is expected to push into the Atlantic Basin during the first week of August. This will lead to a greater chance for increased rainfall and storminess thus leading to a greater threat for tropical development,” Crown Weather reports.
Crown Weather adds: “This is concerning because of how the overall weather pattern has been so far this summer. Our upper level high pressure ridge is set up in such a way that opens up the US East Coast to a tropical storm or hurricane impact.
“In addition to this, we have seen upper level troughs of low pressure frequently set up shop over the Midwestern United States or Ohio Valley. The position of this upper level trough is such that it turns the upper level winds into a south to north direction. Should this continue, it would lead to tropical systems being steered right up the US East Coast.
“If this weather pattern continues through August, September & October, we could be in real trouble in terms of landfalling tropical storms/hurricanes. The main area of concern for me continues to be from the extreme northeastern Caribbean through the Bahamas and along parts of the US East Coast, especially from South & North Carolina northward to New England centered between August 15 and October 15.”
SOUALIGA NEWSDAY WEATHER WATCH