SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN – The Colorado State University Department of Atmospheric Science (DAS) on Thursday in its latest update for the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season continues to forecast a below average season which spells good news for the Caribbean and other areas.
Information obtained through July 2018 indicates that the season will have activity below the median 1981 – 2010 season.
The reasons for this DAS add are as follows: “The tropical Atlantic remains cooler than normal, and there is a relatively high potential that a weak El Niño develops in the next several months.
“The probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean is below normal due to the forecast for a below-average season. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.”
Forecast activity after July 31 is: nine (9) named storms, of which three (3) would become a hurricane, and one (1) major hurricane.
The average hurricane season normally sees 12 named stormed, five (5) becoming hurricanes and one (1) becoming a major hurricane.
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