SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN – According to Crown Weather, the long-term weather model forecast has that storm/hurricane activity will be down for the next seven to 10 days until early August.
The potential for any storm/hurricane development will increase.
“The very long range CFS model guidance has been pretty consistent in forecasting tropical activity to begin ramping up in both the southwestern Atlantic and also across the central Atlantic between the Lesser Antilles and the coast of Africa during the August 5-12 period.
“From there, the CFS model forecasts a pretty active period for tropical storm/hurricane activity from mid-August to mid-October. Some things popped out at me when looking at the CFS model forecast for the next 90 days.
“First is that the region from the far northeastern Caribbean through the Bahamas and along the US East Coast could be active with at least 3 tropical storm or hurricane threats between August 15 and October 15.
“Second is that the central and eastern Caribbean may be quiet with no significant threats. This remains to be seen, but this idea seems plausible given the overall weather pattern.
“Third is that the northwestern Caribbean into the Gulf of Mexico could become active tropically after September 15th,” Crown Weather concludes.
SOUALIAGA NEWSDAY WEATHER WATCH