NEW - WEATHER WATCH HURRICANE IRMA: Could Strengthen into an Extremely Dangerous Category 4 System

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NEW - WEATHER WATCH HURRICANE IRMA: Could Strengthen into an Extremely Dangerous Category 4 System

SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN – The National Hurricane Center (NHC) out of Miami reported on Thursday that Hurricane Irma strengthened rapidly to a Category 2 system due to some weather elements in its current area.

Irma is expected to move over some cooler waters on Friday and further strengthening hopefully according to NHC will level off.  Thereafter, over the weekend and into Monday, September 4, Irma will move over warmer waters which is expected to promote further strengthening of the hurricane making it an extremely dangerous Category 4 system East of the Caribbean island chain on Tuesday, September 5.

A high ridge weather system to the north of the hurricane will influence its track towards the Caribbean island keeping it moving westward towards the Leeward/Windward Islands.  It’s still too far out and too early to say where exactly Irma will end up and how big the hurricane will be when it’s about 500 miles away from the islands. 

Crown Weather said on Thursday that, “First and foremost, Irma is a MAJOR threat to the central and northern Lesser Antilles, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico from Tuesday through Wednesday. The southward shifts in the forecast track by the European operational and European ensemble guidance are very worrisome as it is looking increasingly more likely that the core of a major hurricane will move directly over the northeastern Caribbean around Tuesday into Wednesday. Irma is a very serious threat to the central and northern Lesser Antilles, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.”

Crown Weather adds, “The islands I am most concerned with right now for a major hurricane impact are Guadeloupe, Antigua, Barbuda, St. Martin, Anguilla, the entire US & British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Please monitor the progress of Irma extremely closely and it may be a good idea to go through your hurricane prep kit and be prepared for a major hurricane impact.”

Now is a good time to review your hurricane preparatory kit.

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UPDATE - WEATHER WATCH: Irma could strengthen into major Category 3 Hurricane before reaching islands

ARCHIVE, Wednesday, August 30, SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN – Based on the Wednesday evening forecast by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) out of Miami, Tropical Storm (TS) Irma on Wednesday evening was located several thousand miles from the Leeward Islands.

The forecasts has Irma becoming a major Hurricane with 120 mile per hour (mph) winds as it tracks towards the islands of the eastern Caribbean.  Irma will then be a Category 3 hurricane on Monday, September 4.  On Tuesday, September 5, Hurricane Irma is forecast to have winds of 120 mph, or 10 miles shy of becoming a Category 4 hurricane.

Irma continues to become better organized and is expected to steadily strengthen during the next couple of days, NHC says.

Irma’s current track towards the Caribbean will be influenced by a high pressure ridge to its north. The ridge is expected to strengthen pushing Irma on a west-southwestward track towards the Leeward and Windward Islands.

It’s still too early to say what the exact track will be, but it is definitely a storm to closely watch over the next few days.

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WEATHER WATCH: TS Irma forms in Atlantic. Makes way towards Leeward Islands

ARCHIVE, Wednesday, August 30, SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN – What was Invest 93-L on Tuesday is today Wednesday, the ninth named storm of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season, Tropical Storm (TS) Irma.  Irma will be closely watched by disaster management across the Eastern Caribbean islands as it makes it approach to the Region.

TS Irma as of Wednesday was several thousand miles from the Leeward Islands or over 400 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands.

Residents can expect if TS Irma remains on its track towards the islands, the various National Disaster Management organizations will be alerting their residents from Antigua, Anguilla, Sint Maarten/St. Martin, St. Barths, Saba, St. Eustatius, U.S. and British Virgin Islands, St. Kitts & Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, and as far south as Martinique and St. Lucia, to monitor the progress of the storm. 

The aforementioned advisory could be released before or over the weekend.  Disaster Management officials will want to monitor the progress and track of the storm to see exactly in what direction it will be steered by other weather systems in the area.

The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) out of Miami has Irma becoming a hurricane around Thursday/Friday.  It appears that the system will drift to the north a bit but then wobble back to a westerly track in the coming days and even make a dip south which brings it in alignment with the Leeward Islands of the North-Eastern Caribbean.

On Monday morning September 4, Irma is forecast to be a hurricane a couple hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds at 90 miles per hour just five (95 mph) miles short of being classified as a Category 1 hurricane.

Crown Weather reported on Wednesday that: “All of the model guidance, including the GFS, European, Canadian and UKMET models, continue to forecast significant strengthening from Irma with strong signals in the data that suggests that not only are the northern Lesser Antilles, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico at risk from a significant storm, but the Bahamas and the entire US East Coast are at significant risk from Irma during the September 9th to September 12th time period.

“The European model guidance is very consistent in forecasting that Irma will bring hurricane impacts to the northern Lesser Antilles, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico around Wednesday of next week. From there, the European model guidance forecasts a west-northwest track into the southeastern Bahamas by late next week.”

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Invest 93-L could become Major Hurricane Irma before Reaching Leeward Islands

ARCHIVE, Tuesday, August 29, SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN - Invest 93-L tropical disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic Ocean on Tuesday continues to track towards the Caribbean Region.  Even though, more than several thousand miles away, according to Crown Weather, “…I continue to keep a very close eye on and its future track could bring significant impacts to the northern Lesser Antilles and northeastern Caribbean next Tuesday and next Wednesday and then to the US East Coast during the weekend of September 9th-10th.”

Weather watchers are of the opinion about Invest 93-L, will become the ninth named storm of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season within the next 72 hours.  The National Hurricane Center (NHC) out of Miami says that the low-pressure disturbance is expected to become a Tropical Depression within 72 hours as the system becomes better organized South of the Cape Verde Islands off the coast of Africa.

Crown Weather adds that: “All of the model guidance, including the GFS, European, Canadian and UKMET models, are forecasting development and potentially significant development from Invest 93-L.

“The European model guidance is now forecasting this system to become a tropical storm by this weekend in the central Atlantic and then to be a major hurricane when it impacts the northern Lesser Antilles next Tuesday and Puerto Rico next Wednesday. By next Thursday, the European model guidance forecasts that this system will be a major hurricane in the southeastern Bahamas.”

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